Congress has sent trillions in Covid relief, but missed opportunities to help
Congress has approved trillions of dollars in coronavirus relief in the year since the coronavirus outbreak was declared a pandemic.
Still, lawmakers missed opportunities to mitigate the economic pain and to renew programs that worked.
The CARES Act — with its direct payments, expanded and strengthened unemployment benefits and forgivable small business loans — was considered a swift and effective response in March 2020. Lawmakers then let programs including the jobless aid expire over the summer, and did not renew them until December.
Nearly 8 million people were estimated to drop into poverty in the fall after Washington failed to renew aid last year.
Democrats hope their $1.9 trillion relief plan, which President Joe Biden is set to sign into law Thursday, will help to mitigate some of the lingering damage.
—Jacob Pramuk
Variant in the UK appears to be 64% more deadly than other strains, study finds
Health care workers transport a patient at the Royal London Hospital, as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, in London, Britain, January 26, 2021.
Hannah McKay | Reuters
The highly contagious coronavirus variant first identified in the U.K. is associated with a 64% higher risk of dying from Covid-19, according to a study published in the British Medical Journal.
Researchers analyzed data from more than 100,000 patients, comparing death rates among people infected with B.1.1.7, the variant from the U.K., and those infected with other previously circulating strains.
People infected with B.1.1.7 were between 32% and 104% more likely to die, researchers said. That translates to a central estimate of 64%, they added.
“In the community, death from COVID-19 is still a rare event, but the B.1.1.7 variant raises the risk. Coupled with its ability to spread rapidly this makes B.1.1.7 a threat that should be taken seriously,” said Robert Challen, lead author of the study from the University of Exeter.
—Berkeley Lovelace Jr.
Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel says Covid stimulus to push the market higher
Wharton School’s Jeremy Siegel believes stocks will move higher this year as the $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package adds “more fuel on the fire, so to speak,” reports CNBC’s Kevin Stankiewicz.
“Eventually there will be a Fed tightening and eventually that tightening is going to pressure stocks, and that fear of that, I think, is beginning to come through now,” the finance professor said in an interview on “Squawk Box.”
“But when I see the amount of stimulus come, I can see another 10% rise in stock prices, 10%, 12% this year, then the Fed gets more worried and the leveling off 2022, 2023,” Siegel said.
—Melodie Warner
American Airlines sets record with $10 billion debt sale backed by frequent flyer program
American Airlines flight 718, a Boeing 737 Max, takes of from Miami International Airport on its way to New York on December 29, 2020 in Miami, Florida.
Joe Raedle | Getty Images
American Airlines upsized its planned $7.5 billion debt sale — a mix of two bonds and loan backed by its frequent flyer program — to $10 billion, saying it will use the additional liquidity to pay down other debt, including a federal coronavirus loan.
The amount set a record for airlines’ loyalty-backed debt. Delta Air Lines last year upsized a debt sale that mortgaged its SkyMiles program to $9 billion, up from a planned $6.5 billion.
Airlines make money from these programs by selling frequent flyer miles to banks, which customers earn when they use rewards credit cards. American shares were up 3% in late-morning trading, outpacing the broader market.
—Leslie Josephs
Biden to lay out his vision for a post-Covid world in first primetime address
U.S. President Joe Biden attends an event where he announced administration plans to double its order of the single-shot Johnson & Johnson coronavirus vaccine, procuring an additional 100 million doses, in the South Court Auditorium at the White House in Washington, March 10, 2021.
Tom Brenner | Reuters
J&J’s one-shot Covid vaccine cleared for authorization in the EU
Europe’s drug regulator has recommended the approval of the one-dose coronavirus vaccine created by Johnson & Johnson, potentially adding another weapon in the armory being used to fight Covid-19.
The vaccine will now be sent to the EU Commission for approval later on Thursday.
The vaccine has the added benefit of only requiring a single dose and can be stored in most standard refrigerators at temperatures of 2 to 8 degrees Celsius (or roughly 36 to 46 degrees Fahrenheit), making it easier and cheaper to transport and store.
If approved by the EU and once supplies start to be delivered, the shot could greatly bolster Europe’s struggling immunization program. The EU has already approved the two-dose vaccines developed by Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech and AstraZeneca and the University of Oxford.
—Holly Ellyatt
The pandemic transformed the unemployment system. Is it enough?
The U.S. unemployment system has undergone a radical shift in the pandemic economy.
But fundamental flaws leave it exposed to the next crisis. And recent fixes, in some ways, fell short of what was needed.
The CARES Act offered a historic expansion of the safety net for the jobless. It raised pay by $600 a week and gave aid to the self-employed, gig workers and other previously ineligible groups.
State labor agencies, which buckled under enormous volume early on, were able to smooth bottlenecks by expanding staff, changing processes and updating technology.
But many still rely on outdated mainframe computers that limit how they can respond in future downturns. And shifts in the labor market, like a more mobile workforce, may require lawmakers to rethink how they’ve built the safety net.
—Greg Iacurci
Pfizer’s vaccine blocks most asymptomatic and symptomatic cases in Israel
Pfizer said its Covid-19 vaccine blocked 94% of asymptomatic infections in an Israeli study.
The study also found the vaccine was at least 97% effective against symptomatic Covid cases, hospitalizations and deaths, according to Pfizer, which developed the shot with BioNTech.
“This is extremely important … for society,” Bourla said in an interview with CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” “The asymptomatic carriers and patients are the ones spreading the disease mainly. We were expecting something good in terms of symptomatic,” he said, adding the company was not expecting such a “high number” against asymptomatic cases.
Researchers measured results two weeks after the second dose. The analysis used data collected between Jan. 17 and March 6, when Pfizer’s vaccine was the only available shot in the country and when the more transmissible B.1.1.7 variant from the U.K. was the dominant strain.
–Berkeley Lovelace Jr.
Some states lift capacity restrictions, end mask mandates and reopen their economies
A waiter at Raku, an Asian restaurant in Bethesda, wears a protective face mask as serve customers outdoors amid the coronavirus pandemic on June 12, 2020 in Bethesda, Maryland.
Sarah Silbiger | Getty Images
Despite warnings from top U.S. health officials, state leaders have moved in recent days to end capacity restrictions, drop mask mandates and largely reopen their economies as new cases decline and more vaccines become available.
Maryland became the latest state to restart its economy when Gov. Larry Hogan announced that restaurants, retailers and other businesses will be allowed to reopen without capacity restrictions beginning Friday.
Texas, Mississippi, Connecticut, Arizona, West Virginia and Wyoming have announced similar plans in recent days as the pace of inoculations accelerates and Covid-19 cases and deaths recede.
Those moves come despite warnings from the Biden administration, which asked states in late February to temporarily halt reopenings after the nation’s decline in Covid-19 infections started to plateau.
—Noah Higgins-Dunn
Weekly jobless claims total 712,000
Weekly jobless claims totaled 712,000 last week, ticking up slightly but coming in below the 725,000 that economists surveyed by Dow Jones had expected, CNBC’s Thomas Franck reports.
Continuing claims, representing those filers applying for unemployment benefits for at least two weeks, fell by 193,000 filers to 4.1 million.
The labor market looks ready to stage a rebound with several states lifting capacity restrictions on nonessential businesses and with President Joe Biden expected to sign a $1.9 trillion stimulus package later this week.
—Sara Salinas
How Covid tanked the U.S. economy — in charts
It’s been about a year since much of the U.S. economy suddenly shut down amid coronavirus fears.
The first shoe to drop was transportation. On March 12, nearly 1.8 million people passed through Transportation Security Administration (TSA) checkpoints in airports, according to U.S. Homeland Security data. A week later, that number had fallen to about 620,000, a drop of 66%.
A few days later, in-person service industries effectively collapsed. According to data from Open Table, March 8’s seated diners from online, phone and walk-in reservations were off just 1% from a year earlier. By March 13, it was down 36%. By March 20, it was down 99.35%.
U.S. box office revenue the weekend of March 6 was on par with pre-virus forecasts. The next weekend, box-office revenue fell by nearly 50% to $54 million. One week later, total box office revenue was a stunningly low $195,952.
Here are five charts that show how Covid-19 stopped the U.S. economy in its tracks.
—Alex Sherman
Here’s why remote work is here to stay
In just one year, office culture has changed for good.
Already, employers, particularly tech companies like Microsoft, Twitter, Square, Spotify, Shopify and Amazon, have announced extended, if not permanent, work from home policies.
For the most part, workers applaud this new approach. Vaccinated or not, more than half of employees said that, given the option, they would want to keep working from home even after the coronavirus crisis subsides, according to a survey by the Pew Research Center.
But telecommuting has also been especially challenging and for younger workers just starting out, there is another cost.
It’s nearly impossible to cultivate relationships or connect with a mentor — something that has proven to be especially beneficial over the course a career, according to Kevin Davis, the founder and executive director of First Workings, a nonprofit that helps students secure paid internships and mentorships in the business community.
“That’s the sort of social capital that money can’t buy,” he said. “If and when those companies do go back, I suggest they get into the office as fast as they can.”
— Jessica Dickler
Denmark suspends use of AstraZeneca Covid vaccine over reports of blood clots
A photo illustration of the AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine at Copes pharmacy in Streatham on February 04, 2021 in London, England.
Dan Kitwood | Getty Images
Denmark announced Thursday it will temporarily suspend the use of the coronavirus vaccine developed by AstraZeneca and the University of Oxford.
The Danish Health Authority said it would temporarily stop using the shot in its vaccination program as a precaution “after reports of severe cases of blood clots in people who have been vaccinated with the COVID-19 vaccine from AstraZeneca.”
“Against this background, the European Medicines Agency has launched an investigation into the AstraZeneca vaccine. One report relates to a death in Denmark. At present, it cannot be concluded whether there is a link between the vaccine and the blood clots,” the health authority said in a statement. It did not specify how many reports of blood clots there had been, or where they originated.
A spokesperson for AstraZeneca told CNBC in a statement that “patient safety is the highest priority for AstraZeneca.”
“Regulators have clear and stringent efficacy and safety standards for the approval of any new medicine, and that includes COVID-19 Vaccine AstraZeneca. The safety of the vaccine has been extensively studied in Phase III clinical trials and Peer-reviewed data confirms the vaccine is generally well tolerated.”
—Holly Ellyatt
Singapore has not given up on air travel bubble with Hong Kong after postponement
Singapore’s Transport Minister Ong Ye Kung said his country has not given up on establishing an “air travel bubble” with Hong Kong — a plan that was postponed from last November.
Such an arrangement would allow travelers to skip quarantine and restore some travel volume for the two major Asian business hubs, which don’t have domestic air travel markets.
A resurgence in Covid-19 infections in Hong Kong late last year halted the “travel bubble” plan. Ong said both sides are still cautious following last month’s Lunar New Year celebrations.
“We want to watch if there’s any impact due to Chinese New Year on community transmission,” the minister told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia,” adding that there appears to be no jump in cases following the festivities.
—Yen Nee Lee
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